Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.161902 0.191996 0.225743 0.266334 0.313778 0.367422 0.432625
2025-06-29 0.114659 0.152328 0.199198 0.261574 0.342170 0.442534 0.576712
2025-07-06 0.088237 0.127766 0.180953 0.257291 0.363513 0.505466 0.708832
2025-07-13 0.075215 0.116874 0.176625 0.267794 0.402435 0.592799 0.880888
2025-07-20 0.067803 0.111972 0.178897 0.286489 0.453621 0.701425 1.094097
2025-07-27 0.060516 0.105633 0.177481 0.298560 0.495367 0.799809 1.302356
2025-08-03 0.052228 0.096066 0.169222 0.298075 0.516555 0.868086 1.470695
2025-08-10 0.043756 0.084645 0.156013 0.287131 0.518564 0.905055 1.591607
2025-08-17 0.036316 0.073750 0.141967 0.272454 0.511752 0.925732 1.686263
2025-08-24 0.032297 0.068553 0.137263 0.273577 0.532314 0.994311 1.868957
2025-08-31 0.027748 0.061547 0.128135 0.265086 0.533988 1.029261 1.994856
2025-09-07 0.025348 0.058525 0.126234 0.270106 0.561362 1.112974 2.217100
2025-09-14 0.022536 0.054372 0.121899 0.270576 0.581708 1.189004 2.439615
2025-09-21 0.019647 0.049574 0.115587 0.266252 0.592259 1.248156 2.637818
2025-09-28 0.017186 0.045300 0.109717 0.261948 0.602131 1.306753 2.840887
2025-10-05 0.016103 0.044141 0.110609 0.272636 0.645224 1.437106 3.203220
2025-10-12 0.015638 0.044446 0.114912 0.291651 0.708855 1.616650 3.686117
2025-10-19 0.014783 0.043582 0.116285 0.303929 0.758646 1.771570 4.131652
2025-10-26 0.013330 0.040835 0.112600 0.303435 0.778669 1.863368 4.448381
2025-11-02 0.011550 0.036826 0.105085 0.292304 0.771875 1.894292 4.632057
2025-11-09 0.009847 0.032697 0.096587 0.277377 0.753785 1.897172 4.751551
2025-11-16 0.008995 0.030963 0.094300 0.278519 0.776182 1.997140 5.107556
2025-11-23 0.007888 0.028207 0.088718 0.269883 0.772230 2.033377 5.314886